Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on May 16, driven by BMKG's latest forecast indicating partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs up to 31°C, tempered by recent observational data showing a mid-May heatwave peak of 34.6°C on May 12. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta, combined with high solar insolation during the dry season and climatological May averages around 32°C, support upside potential beyond regional model caps, while elevated humidity (68–97%) and possible afternoon showers introduce uncertainty. Hourly BMKG station updates today could shift ensemble forecasts before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
33°C 38%
32°C 30%
31°C 14%
34°C 14%
신규
$11,260 거래량
신규
$11,260 거래량
2026.05.16
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
14%
32°C
30%
33°C
38%
34°C
14%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 38%
32°C 30%
31°C 14%
34°C 14%
신규
$11,260 거래량
신규
$11,260 거래량
2026.05.16
26°C or below
$576 거래량
<1%
27°C
$1,187 거래량
<1%
28°C
$579 거래량
<1%
29°C
$273 거래량
<1%
30°C
$1,130 거래량
4%
31°C
$3,560 거래량
14%
32°C
$1,517 거래량
30%
33°C
$775 거래량
38%
34°C
$1,130 거래량
14%
35°C
$324 거래량
1%
36°C or higher
$510 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on May 16, driven by BMKG's latest forecast indicating partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs up to 31°C, tempered by recent observational data showing a mid-May heatwave peak of 34.6°C on May 12. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta, combined with high solar insolation during the dry season and climatological May averages around 32°C, support upside potential beyond regional model caps, while elevated humidity (68–97%) and possible afternoon showers introduce uncertainty. Hourly BMKG station updates today could shift ensemble forecasts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
거래량
$11,260종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on May 16, driven by BMKG's latest forecast indicating partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs up to 31°C, tempered by recent observational data showing a mid-May heatwave peak of 34.6°C on May 12. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta, combined with high solar insolation during the dry season and climatological May averages around 32°C, support upside potential beyond regional model caps, while elevated humidity (68–97%) and possible afternoon showers introduce uncertainty. Hourly BMKG station updates today could shift ensemble forecasts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$11,260종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on May 16, driven by BMKG's latest forecast indicating partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs up to 31°C, tempered by recent observational data showing a mid-May heatwave peak of 34.6°C on May 12. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta, combined with high solar insolation during the dry season and climatological May averages around 32°C, support upside potential beyond regional model caps, while elevated humidity (68–97%) and possible afternoon showers introduce uncertainty. Hourly BMKG station updates today could shift ensemble forecasts before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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