Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
13°C 44%
14°C 30%
12°C 17%
15°C 6.2%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
17%
13°C
44%
14°C
30%
15°C
6%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 44%
14°C 30%
12°C 17%
15°C 6.2%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
8°C or below
$1,033 거래량
<1%
9°C
$279 거래량
1%
10°C
$217 거래량
2%
11°C
$91 거래량
3%
12°C
$345 거래량
17%
13°C
$448 거래량
44%
14°C
$181 거래량
30%
15°C
$123 거래량
6%
16°C
$130 거래량
1%
17°C
$92 거래량
1%
18°C or higher
$479 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
거래량
$3,418종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$3,418종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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