Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high of exactly 31°C in Wuhan on May 16, supported by stable subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited afternoon convection that caps intensification. Model consensus across regional runs shows peak readings near this threshold without pushing into the low 30s, consistent with May climatology where historical maxima average 26–28°C yet can reach 31°C under similar conditions. Trader positioning at 100% for 31°C reflects real-time observational data confirming the ceiling, with any upward revision requiring rapid changes such as clearing skies or stronger insolation that current guidance does not support.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
31°C 100.0%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$48,428 거래량
$48,428 거래량
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$48,428 거래량
$48,428 거래량
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high of exactly 31°C in Wuhan on May 16, supported by stable subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited afternoon convection that caps intensification. Model consensus across regional runs shows peak readings near this threshold without pushing into the low 30s, consistent with May climatology where historical maxima average 26–28°C yet can reach 31°C under similar conditions. Trader positioning at 100% for 31°C reflects real-time observational data confirming the ceiling, with any upward revision requiring rapid changes such as clearing skies or stronger insolation that current guidance does not support.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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