Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 44%
14°C 29%
12°C 20%
15°C 7.3%
신규
$10,438 거래량
신규
$10,438 거래량
2026.05.16
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
20%
13°C
44%
14°C
29%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 44%
14°C 29%
12°C 20%
15°C 7.3%
신규
$10,438 거래량
신규
$10,438 거래량
2026.05.16
7°C or below
$815 거래량
<1%
8°C
$888 거래량
<1%
9°C
$555 거래량
<1%
10°C
$578 거래량
1%
11°C
$798 거래량
2%
12°C
$1,426 거래량
20%
13°C
$911 거래량
44%
14°C
$778 거래량
29%
15°C
$1,257 거래량
7%
16°C
$1,842 거래량
1%
17°C or higher
$591 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
거래량
$10,438종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$10,438종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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