Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly guidance, project Istanbul's May 15 high temperature clustering tightly at 20-22°C, with MGM peaking at 22.2°C around 4 p.m. local time under mostly clear skies, fueling the razor-thin trader sentiment between 20°C (32%) and 21°C (30.5%). This balance stems from mid-May climatology—averaging 21°C highs with 3°C standard deviation—tempered by sea breeze influences from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, potential afternoon cumulus clouds curbing insolation, and variable boundary layer mixing amid weak high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean. No major synoptic shifts in the past week; real-time airport observations and evening model updates could tip the closely matched outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 15?
20°C 32%
21°C 31%
22°C or higher 21%
19°C 16%
신규
$13,980 거래량
신규
$13,980 거래량
2026.05.15
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
16%
20°C
32%
21°C
31%
22°C or higher
21%
20°C 32%
21°C 31%
22°C or higher 21%
19°C 16%
신규
$13,980 거래량
신규
$13,980 거래량
2026.05.15
13°C
$750 거래량
<1%
14°C
$1,867 거래량
1%
15°C
$1,105 거래량
<1%
16°C
$2,202 거래량
<1%
17°C
$1,569 거래량
1%
18°C
$1,963 거래량
4%
19°C
$1,305 거래량
16%
20°C
$1,204 거래량
32%
21°C
$542 거래량
31%
22°C or higher
$949 거래량
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly guidance, project Istanbul's May 15 high temperature clustering tightly at 20-22°C, with MGM peaking at 22.2°C around 4 p.m. local time under mostly clear skies, fueling the razor-thin trader sentiment between 20°C (32%) and 21°C (30.5%). This balance stems from mid-May climatology—averaging 21°C highs with 3°C standard deviation—tempered by sea breeze influences from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, potential afternoon cumulus clouds curbing insolation, and variable boundary layer mixing amid weak high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean. No major synoptic shifts in the past week; real-time airport observations and evening model updates could tip the closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
거래량
$13,980종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly guidance, project Istanbul's May 15 high temperature clustering tightly at 20-22°C, with MGM peaking at 22.2°C around 4 p.m. local time under mostly clear skies, fueling the razor-thin trader sentiment between 20°C (32%) and 21°C (30.5%). This balance stems from mid-May climatology—averaging 21°C highs with 3°C standard deviation—tempered by sea breeze influences from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, potential afternoon cumulus clouds curbing insolation, and variable boundary layer mixing amid weak high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean. No major synoptic shifts in the past week; real-time airport observations and evening model updates could tip the closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$13,980종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly guidance, project Istanbul's May 15 high temperature clustering tightly at 20-22°C, with MGM peaking at 22.2°C around 4 p.m. local time under mostly clear skies, fueling the razor-thin trader sentiment between 20°C (32%) and 21°C (30.5%). This balance stems from mid-May climatology—averaging 21°C highs with 3°C standard deviation—tempered by sea breeze influences from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, potential afternoon cumulus clouds curbing insolation, and variable boundary layer mixing amid weak high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean. No major synoptic shifts in the past week; real-time airport observations and evening model updates could tip the closely matched outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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