Forecast models from European and regional agencies show Istanbul on track for a notably warm May 16, with daytime peaks driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting milder Mediterranean air. This setup has produced recent surface observations exceeding 24°C at nearby stations, pushing the 25°C-or-higher outcome to a dominant 72.5% implied probability. Historical mid-May averages hover near 22°C, so the current anomaly reflects both the strength of the ridge and limited cloud cover expected through the afternoon. Traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and Turkish meteorological runs heavily, as any shift in the steering pattern or increased marine layer could cap the high below the top bracket before sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
25°C or higher 74%
24°C 19%
23°C 4.5%
22°C <1%
$16,389 거래량
$16,389 거래량
2026.05.16
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
74%
25°C or higher 74%
24°C 19%
23°C 4.5%
22°C <1%
$16,389 거래량
$16,389 거래량
2026.05.16
22°C
$2,946 거래량
<1%
23°C
$2,026 거래량
5%
24°C
$1,090 거래량
19%
25°C or higher
$1,562 거래량
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from European and regional agencies show Istanbul on track for a notably warm May 16, with daytime peaks driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting milder Mediterranean air. This setup has produced recent surface observations exceeding 24°C at nearby stations, pushing the 25°C-or-higher outcome to a dominant 72.5% implied probability. Historical mid-May averages hover near 22°C, so the current anomaly reflects both the strength of the ridge and limited cloud cover expected through the afternoon. Traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and Turkish meteorological runs heavily, as any shift in the steering pattern or increased marine layer could cap the high below the top bracket before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
거래량
$16,389종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from European and regional agencies show Istanbul on track for a notably warm May 16, with daytime peaks driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting milder Mediterranean air. This setup has produced recent surface observations exceeding 24°C at nearby stations, pushing the 25°C-or-higher outcome to a dominant 72.5% implied probability. Historical mid-May averages hover near 22°C, so the current anomaly reflects both the strength of the ridge and limited cloud cover expected through the afternoon. Traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and Turkish meteorological runs heavily, as any shift in the steering pattern or increased marine layer could cap the high below the top bracket before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$16,389종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from European and regional agencies show Istanbul on track for a notably warm May 16, with daytime peaks driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting milder Mediterranean air. This setup has produced recent surface observations exceeding 24°C at nearby stations, pushing the 25°C-or-higher outcome to a dominant 72.5% implied probability. Historical mid-May averages hover near 22°C, so the current anomaly reflects both the strength of the ridge and limited cloud cover expected through the afternoon. Traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and Turkish meteorological runs heavily, as any shift in the steering pattern or increased marine layer could cap the high below the top bracket before sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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