Trader consensus on Polymarket ties 15°C and 16°C at 42.5% each for Paris's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF high-resolution model runs projecting peaks near 15.5°C under a low-pressure trough bringing persistent cloud cover, westerly winds of 15-30 km/h, and scattered showers. This cool, unstable pattern—evident in today's below-normal readings and recent days' similar conditions—suppresses highs well under May climatological averages of 18-20°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon partial clearing for insolation boosting to 16°C versus overcast skies capping at 15°C; ensemble spreads highlight this variability. Evening forecast updates from operational models will likely refine odds before resolution at Paris-Le Bourget station.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 16일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 16일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
16°C 43%
15°C 42%
14°C 9%
17°C 6.1%
신규
$25,884 거래량
신규
$25,884 거래량
2026.05.16
10°C 이하
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
9%
15°C
42%
16°C
43%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C 이상
<1%
16°C 43%
15°C 42%
14°C 9%
17°C 6.1%
신규
$25,884 거래량
신규
$25,884 거래량
2026.05.16
10°C 이하
$8,008 거래량
<1%
11°C
$887 거래량
<1%
12°C
$1,674 거래량
<1%
13°C
$2,034 거래량
2%
14°C
$2,081 거래량
9%
15°C
$2,804 거래량
42%
16°C
$3,276 거래량
43%
17°C
$1,752 거래량
6%
18°C
$1,218 거래량
1%
19°C
$786 거래량
<1%
20°C 이상
$1,449 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket ties 15°C and 16°C at 42.5% each for Paris's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF high-resolution model runs projecting peaks near 15.5°C under a low-pressure trough bringing persistent cloud cover, westerly winds of 15-30 km/h, and scattered showers. This cool, unstable pattern—evident in today's below-normal readings and recent days' similar conditions—suppresses highs well under May climatological averages of 18-20°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon partial clearing for insolation boosting to 16°C versus overcast skies capping at 15°C; ensemble spreads highlight this variability. Evening forecast updates from operational models will likely refine odds before resolution at Paris-Le Bourget station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$25,884종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket ties 15°C and 16°C at 42.5% each for Paris's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF high-resolution model runs projecting peaks near 15.5°C under a low-pressure trough bringing persistent cloud cover, westerly winds of 15-30 km/h, and scattered showers. This cool, unstable pattern—evident in today's below-normal readings and recent days' similar conditions—suppresses highs well under May climatological averages of 18-20°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon partial clearing for insolation boosting to 16°C versus overcast skies capping at 15°C; ensemble spreads highlight this variability. Evening forecast updates from operational models will likely refine odds before resolution at Paris-Le Bourget station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$25,884종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket ties 15°C and 16°C at 42.5% each for Paris's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF high-resolution model runs projecting peaks near 15.5°C under a low-pressure trough bringing persistent cloud cover, westerly winds of 15-30 km/h, and scattered showers. This cool, unstable pattern—evident in today's below-normal readings and recent days' similar conditions—suppresses highs well under May climatological averages of 18-20°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon partial clearing for insolation boosting to 16°C versus overcast skies capping at 15°C; ensemble spreads highlight this variability. Evening forecast updates from operational models will likely refine odds before resolution at Paris-Le Bourget station.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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