Current meteorological conditions over northern Italy, including a persistent low-pressure system and widespread cloud cover with showers across Lombardy, have driven the near-certain market consensus that Milan’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach exactly 13°C. Official guidance from Italy’s Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF model runs project limited diurnal heating under northerly airflow, keeping maxima well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. This strong scientific alignment—confirmed through surface observations and ensemble consensus—has produced the dominant implied probability of 100% for 13°C. Only an abrupt late-day clearing or model error exceeding typical uncertainty ranges could realistically push readings into the 14°C or higher buckets before the evening resolution window closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,620 거래량
$82,620 거래량
2026.05.15
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,620 거래량
$82,620 거래량
2026.05.15
13°C
$12,309 거래량
100%
14°C
$8,763 거래량
<1%
15°C
$6,897 거래량
<1%
16°C
$6,003 거래량
<1%
17°C
$9,252 거래량
<1%
18°C
$8,607 거래량
<1%
19°C or higher
$6,916 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological conditions over northern Italy, including a persistent low-pressure system and widespread cloud cover with showers across Lombardy, have driven the near-certain market consensus that Milan’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach exactly 13°C. Official guidance from Italy’s Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF model runs project limited diurnal heating under northerly airflow, keeping maxima well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. This strong scientific alignment—confirmed through surface observations and ensemble consensus—has produced the dominant implied probability of 100% for 13°C. Only an abrupt late-day clearing or model error exceeding typical uncertainty ranges could realistically push readings into the 14°C or higher buckets before the evening resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$82,620종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological conditions over northern Italy, including a persistent low-pressure system and widespread cloud cover with showers across Lombardy, have driven the near-certain market consensus that Milan’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach exactly 13°C. Official guidance from Italy’s Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF model runs project limited diurnal heating under northerly airflow, keeping maxima well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. This strong scientific alignment—confirmed through surface observations and ensemble consensus—has produced the dominant implied probability of 100% for 13°C. Only an abrupt late-day clearing or model error exceeding typical uncertainty ranges could realistically push readings into the 14°C or higher buckets before the evening resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$82,620종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETCurrent meteorological conditions over northern Italy, including a persistent low-pressure system and widespread cloud cover with showers across Lombardy, have driven the near-certain market consensus that Milan’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach exactly 13°C. Official guidance from Italy’s Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF model runs project limited diurnal heating under northerly airflow, keeping maxima well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. This strong scientific alignment—confirmed through surface observations and ensemble consensus—has produced the dominant implied probability of 100% for 13°C. Only an abrupt late-day clearing or model error exceeding typical uncertainty ranges could realistically push readings into the 14°C or higher buckets before the evening resolution window closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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