Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 88-89°F (42%) and 90-91°F (32%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting daytime heating. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical averages around 87°F at Miami International Airport, bolstered by light winds and sea breeze convergence that typically allow peaks before afternoon showers arrive. Recent NWS updates reflect model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimal cloud interference early, though scattered thunderstorms (30-40% chance) introduce uncertainty that could cap highs lower. Watch for evening forecast refinements as observations confirm boundary layer trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 15일 마이애미에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 15일 마이애미에서 가장 높은 기온?
88-89°F 38%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 10%
신규
$15,855 거래량
신규
$15,855 거래량
2026.05.15
81°F 이하
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F 이상
<1%
88-89°F 38%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 10%
신규
$15,855 거래량
신규
$15,855 거래량
2026.05.15
81°F 이하
$2,734 거래량
<1%
82-83°F
$2,047 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$995 거래량
1%
86-87°F
$1,046 거래량
18%
88-89°F
$1,579 거래량
38%
90-91°F
$910 거래량
31%
92-93°F
$2,548 거래량
10%
94-95°F
$1,688 거래량
3%
96-97°F
$347 거래량
<1%
98-99°F
$240 거래량
<1%
100°F 이상
$1,732 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 88-89°F (42%) and 90-91°F (32%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting daytime heating. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical averages around 87°F at Miami International Airport, bolstered by light winds and sea breeze convergence that typically allow peaks before afternoon showers arrive. Recent NWS updates reflect model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimal cloud interference early, though scattered thunderstorms (30-40% chance) introduce uncertainty that could cap highs lower. Watch for evening forecast refinements as observations confirm boundary layer trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$15,855종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 88-89°F (42%) and 90-91°F (32%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting daytime heating. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical averages around 87°F at Miami International Airport, bolstered by light winds and sea breeze convergence that typically allow peaks before afternoon showers arrive. Recent NWS updates reflect model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimal cloud interference early, though scattered thunderstorms (30-40% chance) introduce uncertainty that could cap highs lower. Watch for evening forecast refinements as observations confirm boundary layer trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$15,855종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 88-89°F (42%) and 90-91°F (32%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 15, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting daytime heating. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical averages around 87°F at Miami International Airport, bolstered by light winds and sea breeze convergence that typically allow peaks before afternoon showers arrive. Recent NWS updates reflect model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimal cloud interference early, though scattered thunderstorms (30-40% chance) introduce uncertainty that could cap highs lower. Watch for evening forecast refinements as observations confirm boundary layer trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문