Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 13 at 56-57°F, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard station for such resolutions. This outcome stems from a sharp cool-down after early May record highs of 81°F on May 4, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge that enabled persistent onshore flow, cool Pacific air advection, and low-level marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited solar insolation and temperatures stuck in the mid-50s amid typical May climatology (average high ~64°F). Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or disputes over measurement site compliance, though none are currently indicated.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seattle on May 13?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 13?
56-57°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$128,203 거래량
$128,203 거래량
2026.05.13
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$128,203 거래량
$128,203 거래량
2026.05.13
53°F or below
$9,533 거래량
No
54-55°F
$17,067 거래량
No
56-57°F
$15,206 거래량
Yes
58-59°F
$8,220 거래량
No
60-61°F
$9,287 거래량
No
62-63°F
$7,889 거래량
No
64-65°F
$6,680 거래량
No
66-67°F
$8,453 거래량
No
68-69°F
$5,466 거래량
No
70-71°F
$4,689 거래량
No
72°F or higher
$35,711 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 13 at 56-57°F, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard station for such resolutions. This outcome stems from a sharp cool-down after early May record highs of 81°F on May 4, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge that enabled persistent onshore flow, cool Pacific air advection, and low-level marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited solar insolation and temperatures stuck in the mid-50s amid typical May climatology (average high ~64°F). Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or disputes over measurement site compliance, though none are currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
거래량
$128,203종료일
2026.05.13마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 12:33 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 13 at 56-57°F, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard station for such resolutions. This outcome stems from a sharp cool-down after early May record highs of 81°F on May 4, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge that enabled persistent onshore flow, cool Pacific air advection, and low-level marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited solar insolation and temperatures stuck in the mid-50s amid typical May climatology (average high ~64°F). Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or disputes over measurement site compliance, though none are currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$128,203종료일
2026.05.13마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 12:33 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 13 at 56-57°F, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard station for such resolutions. This outcome stems from a sharp cool-down after early May record highs of 81°F on May 4, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge that enabled persistent onshore flow, cool Pacific air advection, and low-level marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited solar insolation and temperatures stuck in the mid-50s amid typical May climatology (average high ~64°F). Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or disputes over measurement site compliance, though none are currently indicated.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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