Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project New York City overnight lows near 65–67°F on May 19, reflecting a warming trend from recent cool Northeast patterns as an upper-level ridge strengthens, promoting subsidence and warm air advection. Trader consensus clusters here due to tight model spread (±2–3°F), with 66–67°F leading on drier, clearer skies limiting radiative cooling, while 64–65°F gains from potential lingering clouds or light southerly winds enhancing insulation. Lower bins like 62–63°F hinge on unexpected cold air pooling or frontal passages unlikely per current guidance. Key differentiator: overnight cloud cover evolution. Watch 12z model runs and NWS updates tomorrow for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 19일 뉴욕에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
64-65°F 22%
66-67°F 22%
62-63°F 14%
68-69°F 14%
55°F 이하
<1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
8%
74°F 이상
4%
64-65°F 22%
66-67°F 22%
62-63°F 14%
68-69°F 14%
55°F 이하
<1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
8%
74°F 이상
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project New York City overnight lows near 65–67°F on May 19, reflecting a warming trend from recent cool Northeast patterns as an upper-level ridge strengthens, promoting subsidence and warm air advection. Trader consensus clusters here due to tight model spread (±2–3°F), with 66–67°F leading on drier, clearer skies limiting radiative cooling, while 64–65°F gains from potential lingering clouds or light southerly winds enhancing insulation. Lower bins like 62–63°F hinge on unexpected cold air pooling or frontal passages unlikely per current guidance. Key differentiator: overnight cloud cover evolution. Watch 12z model runs and NWS updates tomorrow for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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