The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high temperature near 84°F today, reflecting strong model consensus from the GFS and European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts driven by a synoptic ridge aloft and southwesterly winds around 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph, which limit Lake Michigan's cooling influence. This positions the market-implied 82.5% probability for 74°F or higher, well above the mid-May climatological normal of about 70°F, while 14.5% on 72-73°F accounts for potential early lake-breeze development or isolated showers. Trader sentiment aligns with observed warming trends in recent 12-18 hour updates; monitor hourly observations and afternoon NWS revisions as resolution nears end-of-day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
74°F or higher 82%
72-73°F 14%
70-71°F 2.9%
68-69°F <1%
$74,030 거래량
$74,030 거래량
2026.05.15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
14%
74°F or higher
82%
74°F or higher 82%
72-73°F 14%
70-71°F 2.9%
68-69°F <1%
$74,030 거래량
$74,030 거래량
2026.05.15
55°F or below
$18,682 거래량
<1%
56-57°F
$3,731 거래량
<1%
58-59°F
$6,795 거래량
<1%
60-61°F
$4,891 거래량
<1%
62-63°F
$5,805 거래량
<1%
64-65°F
$4,747 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$7,268 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$5,479 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$4,657 거래량
3%
72-73°F
$4,736 거래량
14%
74°F or higher
$7,281 거래량
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high temperature near 84°F today, reflecting strong model consensus from the GFS and European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts driven by a synoptic ridge aloft and southwesterly winds around 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph, which limit Lake Michigan's cooling influence. This positions the market-implied 82.5% probability for 74°F or higher, well above the mid-May climatological normal of about 70°F, while 14.5% on 72-73°F accounts for potential early lake-breeze development or isolated showers. Trader sentiment aligns with observed warming trends in recent 12-18 hour updates; monitor hourly observations and afternoon NWS revisions as resolution nears end-of-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$74,030종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high temperature near 84°F today, reflecting strong model consensus from the GFS and European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts driven by a synoptic ridge aloft and southwesterly winds around 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph, which limit Lake Michigan's cooling influence. This positions the market-implied 82.5% probability for 74°F or higher, well above the mid-May climatological normal of about 70°F, while 14.5% on 72-73°F accounts for potential early lake-breeze development or isolated showers. Trader sentiment aligns with observed warming trends in recent 12-18 hour updates; monitor hourly observations and afternoon NWS revisions as resolution nears end-of-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$74,030종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThe National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high temperature near 84°F today, reflecting strong model consensus from the GFS and European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts driven by a synoptic ridge aloft and southwesterly winds around 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph, which limit Lake Michigan's cooling influence. This positions the market-implied 82.5% probability for 74°F or higher, well above the mid-May climatological normal of about 70°F, while 14.5% on 72-73°F accounts for potential early lake-breeze development or isolated showers. Trader sentiment aligns with observed warming trends in recent 12-18 hour updates; monitor hourly observations and afternoon NWS revisions as resolution nears end-of-day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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