Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 24°C (28.5% implied probability) in Chongqing on May 15, reflecting divergent forecast models amid an incoming rain system. The China Meteorological Administration projects 27°C under moderate-to-heavy rain with minimal wind, while international guidance like timeanddate.com anticipates 24°C highs due to thundershowers, 90% precipitation chance, and persistent overcast skies suppressing insolation. Recent May 14 updates highlight cloud cover buildup from a moist frontal boundary, capping heating in the humid Sichuan Basin where May averages hover near 27°C. Key differentiators include rain onset timing—early showers favor 23°C (18.5%), delayed ones 25°C (22.0%)—with hourly observations and model refreshes today poised to sharpen the outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
24°C 31%
25°C 25%
23°C 22%
26°C 12%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
22%
24°C
31%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
4%
24°C 31%
25°C 25%
23°C 22%
26°C 12%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
22%
24°C
31%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 24°C (28.5% implied probability) in Chongqing on May 15, reflecting divergent forecast models amid an incoming rain system. The China Meteorological Administration projects 27°C under moderate-to-heavy rain with minimal wind, while international guidance like timeanddate.com anticipates 24°C highs due to thundershowers, 90% precipitation chance, and persistent overcast skies suppressing insolation. Recent May 14 updates highlight cloud cover buildup from a moist frontal boundary, capping heating in the humid Sichuan Basin where May averages hover near 27°C. Key differentiators include rain onset timing—early showers favor 23°C (18.5%), delayed ones 25°C (22.0%)—with hourly observations and model refreshes today poised to sharpen the outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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