Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
21°C 42%
22°C 37%
20°C 14%
19°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
14%
21°C
42%
22°C
37%
23°C
8%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 42%
22°C 37%
20°C 14%
19°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
16°C or below
$45 거래량
1%
17°C
$120 거래량
<1%
18°C
$0 거래량
2%
19°C
$26 거래량
8%
20°C
$26 거래량
14%
21°C
$54 거래량
42%
22°C
$16 거래량
37%
23°C
$81 거래량
8%
24°C
$20 거래량
3%
25°C
$11 거래량
3%
26°C or higher
$40 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
거래량
$439종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$439종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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