The market consensus for a 19°C high in Cape Town on May 15 stems from official daily maximum readings recorded at primary stations under the South African Weather Service, confirming a peak temperature consistent with late-autumn climatology. Persistent westerly flow from the cooler Atlantic, combined with clear skies and moderate humidity, suppressed typical warming and kept values aligned with historical May averages around 18–20°C. Traders have fully priced in these verified observations, leaving negligible scope for upside resolution unless post-event data revisions or localized microclimate effects emerge—scenarios that official monitoring protocols rarely alter at this stage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$45,462 거래량
$45,462 거래량
2026.05.15
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$45,462 거래량
$45,462 거래량
2026.05.15
14°C or below
$2,649 거래량
No
15°C
$993 거래량
No
16°C
$987 거래량
No
17°C
$6,857 거래량
No
18°C
$7,605 거래량
No
19°C
$5,537 거래량
Yes
20°C
$9,866 거래량
No
21°C
$3,963 거래량
No
22°C
$2,995 거래량
No
23°C
$2,967 거래량
No
24°C or higher
$1,041 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus for a 19°C high in Cape Town on May 15 stems from official daily maximum readings recorded at primary stations under the South African Weather Service, confirming a peak temperature consistent with late-autumn climatology. Persistent westerly flow from the cooler Atlantic, combined with clear skies and moderate humidity, suppressed typical warming and kept values aligned with historical May averages around 18–20°C. Traders have fully priced in these verified observations, leaving negligible scope for upside resolution unless post-event data revisions or localized microclimate effects emerge—scenarios that official monitoring protocols rarely alter at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
거래량
$45,462종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus for a 19°C high in Cape Town on May 15 stems from official daily maximum readings recorded at primary stations under the South African Weather Service, confirming a peak temperature consistent with late-autumn climatology. Persistent westerly flow from the cooler Atlantic, combined with clear skies and moderate humidity, suppressed typical warming and kept values aligned with historical May averages around 18–20°C. Traders have fully priced in these verified observations, leaving negligible scope for upside resolution unless post-event data revisions or localized microclimate effects emerge—scenarios that official monitoring protocols rarely alter at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$45,462종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The market consensus for a 19°C high in Cape Town on May 15 stems from official daily maximum readings recorded at primary stations under the South African Weather Service, confirming a peak temperature consistent with late-autumn climatology. Persistent westerly flow from the cooler Atlantic, combined with clear skies and moderate humidity, suppressed typical warming and kept values aligned with historical May averages around 18–20°C. Traders have fully priced in these verified observations, leaving negligible scope for upside resolution unless post-event data revisions or localized microclimate effects emerge—scenarios that official monitoring protocols rarely alter at this stage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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