Current forecast guidance from the South African Weather Service and supporting models points to Cape Town remaining under a stable high-pressure ridge tomorrow, with light southeast winds and mostly clear skies limiting cloud cover and supporting modest daytime heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 20–21 °C at the Cape Town International Airport station, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds between those two brackets. The primary scientific differentiators include minor variations in wind speed that could enhance or suppress mixing with cooler Benguela Current air, subtle shifts in ridge positioning that alter solar insolation, and any late-day marine layer development. These factors sit against typical May climatology of 18–21 °C highs during the autumn transition. Updated model runs and official observations will resolve the exact peak by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 케이프타운에서 가장 높은 기온?
21°C 43%
20°C 29%
19°C 14%
22°C 2.8%
14°C 이하
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
14%
20°C
29%
21°C
43%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C 이상
1%
21°C 43%
20°C 29%
19°C 14%
22°C 2.8%
14°C 이하
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
14%
20°C
29%
21°C
43%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast guidance from the South African Weather Service and supporting models points to Cape Town remaining under a stable high-pressure ridge tomorrow, with light southeast winds and mostly clear skies limiting cloud cover and supporting modest daytime heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 20–21 °C at the Cape Town International Airport station, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds between those two brackets. The primary scientific differentiators include minor variations in wind speed that could enhance or suppress mixing with cooler Benguela Current air, subtle shifts in ridge positioning that alter solar insolation, and any late-day marine layer development. These factors sit against typical May climatology of 18–21 °C highs during the autumn transition. Updated model runs and official observations will resolve the exact peak by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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