Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Weather Service's latest forecast discussion, which cites unseasonably cool conditions for Seattle on May 16 due to a pair of incoming weather systems delivering showers and southwest winds across Western Washington— a departure from early May's warmer-than-average temperatures nearing 80°F. Implied probabilities peak at 54-55°F (34.5%) and 56-57°F (24.0%), aligning with model consensus highs of 53-55°F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-50% precipitation chances that could suppress peaks via evaporative cooling and marine layer persistence. Key variables include frontal passage timing, cloud cover variability (potentially allowing brief sun breaks for 58°F+), and wind speeds influencing mixing; new NWS updates expected this afternoon could refine these amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Historical May norms hover around 65°F, underscoring the trough's cooling influence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 16일 시애틀에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 16일 시애틀에서 가장 높은 기온?
54-55°F 37%
56-57°F 23%
52-53°F 22%
58-59°F 8%
신규
$17,815 거래량
신규
$17,815 거래량
2026.05.16
47°F 이하
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
6%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
37%
56-57°F
23%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F 이상
<1%
54-55°F 37%
56-57°F 23%
52-53°F 22%
58-59°F 8%
신규
$17,815 거래량
신규
$17,815 거래량
2026.05.16
47°F 이하
$6,441 거래량
<1%
48-49°F
$341 거래량
1%
50-51°F
$1,892 거래량
6%
52-53°F
$979 거래량
22%
54-55°F
$504 거래량
37%
56-57°F
$793 거래량
23%
58-59°F
$656 거래량
8%
60-61°F
$3,692 거래량
1%
62-63°F
$1,015 거래량
1%
64-65°F
$785 거래량
<1%
66°F 이상
$857 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Weather Service's latest forecast discussion, which cites unseasonably cool conditions for Seattle on May 16 due to a pair of incoming weather systems delivering showers and southwest winds across Western Washington— a departure from early May's warmer-than-average temperatures nearing 80°F. Implied probabilities peak at 54-55°F (34.5%) and 56-57°F (24.0%), aligning with model consensus highs of 53-55°F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-50% precipitation chances that could suppress peaks via evaporative cooling and marine layer persistence. Key variables include frontal passage timing, cloud cover variability (potentially allowing brief sun breaks for 58°F+), and wind speeds influencing mixing; new NWS updates expected this afternoon could refine these amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Historical May norms hover around 65°F, underscoring the trough's cooling influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$17,815종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Weather Service's latest forecast discussion, which cites unseasonably cool conditions for Seattle on May 16 due to a pair of incoming weather systems delivering showers and southwest winds across Western Washington— a departure from early May's warmer-than-average temperatures nearing 80°F. Implied probabilities peak at 54-55°F (34.5%) and 56-57°F (24.0%), aligning with model consensus highs of 53-55°F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-50% precipitation chances that could suppress peaks via evaporative cooling and marine layer persistence. Key variables include frontal passage timing, cloud cover variability (potentially allowing brief sun breaks for 58°F+), and wind speeds influencing mixing; new NWS updates expected this afternoon could refine these amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Historical May norms hover around 65°F, underscoring the trough's cooling influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,815종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Weather Service's latest forecast discussion, which cites unseasonably cool conditions for Seattle on May 16 due to a pair of incoming weather systems delivering showers and southwest winds across Western Washington— a departure from early May's warmer-than-average temperatures nearing 80°F. Implied probabilities peak at 54-55°F (34.5%) and 56-57°F (24.0%), aligning with model consensus highs of 53-55°F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-50% precipitation chances that could suppress peaks via evaporative cooling and marine layer persistence. Key variables include frontal passage timing, cloud cover variability (potentially allowing brief sun breaks for 58°F+), and wind speeds influencing mixing; new NWS updates expected this afternoon could refine these amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Historical May norms hover around 65°F, underscoring the trough's cooling influence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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