Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Istanbul’s May 17 maximum near 20–21 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Mid-May climatology supports this range, with typical daily highs of 20–22 °C moderated by Black Sea breezes and variable spring cloud cover. Minor model spread arises from uncertain afternoon insolation and the timing of any weak northerly flow; stronger sea breezes or lingering low clouds would cap readings at 19 °C, while brief clearing could allow brief peaks near 22 °C. Updated model runs and hourly observations over the next 48 hours will refine the final distribution before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 17일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
21°C 29%
20°C 21%
22°C 20%
19°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
14%
20°C
21%
21°C
29%
22°C
20%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
5%
21°C 29%
20°C 21%
22°C 20%
19°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
14°C or below
$150 거래량
<1%
15°C
$136 거래량
<1%
16°C
$345 거래량
1%
17°C
$521 거래량
1%
18°C
$643 거래량
3%
19°C
$282 거래량
14%
20°C
$165 거래량
21%
21°C
$52 거래량
29%
22°C
$289 거래량
20%
23°C
$782 거래량
7%
24°C or higher
$532 거래량
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Istanbul’s May 17 maximum near 20–21 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Mid-May climatology supports this range, with typical daily highs of 20–22 °C moderated by Black Sea breezes and variable spring cloud cover. Minor model spread arises from uncertain afternoon insolation and the timing of any weak northerly flow; stronger sea breezes or lingering low clouds would cap readings at 19 °C, while brief clearing could allow brief peaks near 22 °C. Updated model runs and hourly observations over the next 48 hours will refine the final distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$3,899종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Istanbul’s May 17 maximum near 20–21 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Mid-May climatology supports this range, with typical daily highs of 20–22 °C moderated by Black Sea breezes and variable spring cloud cover. Minor model spread arises from uncertain afternoon insolation and the timing of any weak northerly flow; stronger sea breezes or lingering low clouds would cap readings at 19 °C, while brief clearing could allow brief peaks near 22 °C. Updated model runs and hourly observations over the next 48 hours will refine the final distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$3,899종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Istanbul’s May 17 maximum near 20–21 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Mid-May climatology supports this range, with typical daily highs of 20–22 °C moderated by Black Sea breezes and variable spring cloud cover. Minor model spread arises from uncertain afternoon insolation and the timing of any weak northerly flow; stronger sea breezes or lingering low clouds would cap readings at 19 °C, while brief clearing could allow brief peaks near 22 °C. Updated model runs and hourly observations over the next 48 hours will refine the final distribution before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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