Recent confirmation of a new Ebola outbreak in remote Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of Congo, with 246 suspected cases and around 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, has not altered the low risk of U.S. importation by June 30. The outbreak involves a non-Zaire strain with direct-contact transmission, occurring far from major travel hubs amid ongoing security challenges that slow spread. Official surveillance by Africa CDC and WHO, combined with airport screening protocols and the virus's 21-day incubation period, make undetected entry highly improbable within the narrow window. Historical patterns show even larger outbreaks rarely reached the U.S. without medical evacuation, supporting the 88.5% market-implied probability of no case by the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
신규
신규
2026.06.30
신규
신규
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a new Ebola outbreak in remote Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of Congo, with 246 suspected cases and around 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, has not altered the low risk of U.S. importation by June 30. The outbreak involves a non-Zaire strain with direct-contact transmission, occurring far from major travel hubs amid ongoing security challenges that slow spread. Official surveillance by Africa CDC and WHO, combined with airport screening protocols and the virus's 21-day incubation period, make undetected entry highly improbable within the narrow window. Historical patterns show even larger outbreaks rarely reached the U.S. without medical evacuation, supporting the 88.5% market-implied probability of no case by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
거래량
$704종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a new Ebola outbreak in remote Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of Congo, with 246 suspected cases and around 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, has not altered the low risk of U.S. importation by June 30. The outbreak involves a non-Zaire strain with direct-contact transmission, occurring far from major travel hubs amid ongoing security challenges that slow spread. Official surveillance by Africa CDC and WHO, combined with airport screening protocols and the virus's 21-day incubation period, make undetected entry highly improbable within the narrow window. Historical patterns show even larger outbreaks rarely reached the U.S. without medical evacuation, supporting the 88.5% market-implied probability of no case by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
거래량
$727종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent confirmation of a new Ebola outbreak in remote Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of Congo, with 246 suspected cases and around 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, has not altered the low risk of U.S. importation by June 30. The outbreak involves a non-Zaire strain with direct-contact transmission, occurring far from major travel hubs amid ongoing security challenges that slow spread. Official surveillance by Africa CDC and WHO, combined with airport screening protocols and the virus's 21-day incubation period, make undetected entry highly improbable within the narrow window. Historical patterns show even larger outbreaks rarely reached the U.S. without medical evacuation, supporting the 88.5% market-implied probability of no case by the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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