Current forecast ensembles from meteorological models place Chengdu’s May 16 high in the 28–30 °C range, supporting the market’s tight clustering where 29 °C holds the highest implied probability. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is promoting subsidence and clearer skies that enhance daytime solar heating, while light northeast winds of roughly 9 km/h limit boundary-layer mixing and allow temperatures to climb above the month’s 27–28 °C climatological average. Afternoon cloud build-up or any unexpected increase in moisture could cap the peak at 28 °C, whereas full insolation would favor 30 °C or higher. Official station readings reported by the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
29°C 32%
28°C 22%
27°C 18%
30°C 17%
$22,371 거래량
$22,371 거래량
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
22%
29°C
32%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
2%
29°C 32%
28°C 22%
27°C 18%
30°C 17%
$22,371 거래량
$22,371 거래량
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
22%
29°C
32%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast ensembles from meteorological models place Chengdu’s May 16 high in the 28–30 °C range, supporting the market’s tight clustering where 29 °C holds the highest implied probability. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is promoting subsidence and clearer skies that enhance daytime solar heating, while light northeast winds of roughly 9 km/h limit boundary-layer mixing and allow temperatures to climb above the month’s 27–28 °C climatological average. Afternoon cloud build-up or any unexpected increase in moisture could cap the peak at 28 °C, whereas full insolation would favor 30 °C or higher. Official station readings reported by the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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