Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 68-69°F as the leading outcome at 40% implied probability for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 15, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer suppressing daytime heating in the LA basin. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with May 13 highs near 69°F and May 12 limited to 63°F amid delayed stratus burn-off, while climatological normals hover around 69°F for mid-May. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate limited intensification potential absent a ridge shift, though uncertainty remains in the timing of coastal clearing. Key updates expected from NWS LOX afternoon advisories could refine probabilities before resolution via official KLAX data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
68-69°F 41%
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 22%
72-73°F 11%
신규
$13,543 거래량
신규
$13,543 거래량
2026.05.15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
11%
74°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 41%
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 22%
72-73°F 11%
신규
$13,543 거래량
신규
$13,543 거래량
2026.05.15
55°F or below
$1,497 거래량
<1%
56-57°F
$1,561 거래량
<1%
58-59°F
$1,429 거래량
<1%
60-61°F
$4,216 거래량
<1%
62-63°F
$583 거래량
2%
64-65°F
$648 거래량
2%
66-67°F
$1,453 거래량
22%
68-69°F
$379 거래량
41%
70-71°F
$245 거래량
22%
72-73°F
$141 거래량
11%
74°F or higher
$1,394 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 68-69°F as the leading outcome at 40% implied probability for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 15, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer suppressing daytime heating in the LA basin. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with May 13 highs near 69°F and May 12 limited to 63°F amid delayed stratus burn-off, while climatological normals hover around 69°F for mid-May. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate limited intensification potential absent a ridge shift, though uncertainty remains in the timing of coastal clearing. Key updates expected from NWS LOX afternoon advisories could refine probabilities before resolution via official KLAX data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
거래량
$13,543종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 68-69°F as the leading outcome at 40% implied probability for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 15, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer suppressing daytime heating in the LA basin. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with May 13 highs near 69°F and May 12 limited to 63°F amid delayed stratus burn-off, while climatological normals hover around 69°F for mid-May. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate limited intensification potential absent a ridge shift, though uncertainty remains in the timing of coastal clearing. Key updates expected from NWS LOX afternoon advisories could refine probabilities before resolution via official KLAX data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$13,543종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices 68-69°F as the leading outcome at 40% implied probability for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 15, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer suppressing daytime heating in the LA basin. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with May 13 highs near 69°F and May 12 limited to 63°F amid delayed stratus burn-off, while climatological normals hover around 69°F for mid-May. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate limited intensification potential absent a ridge shift, though uncertainty remains in the timing of coastal clearing. Key updates expected from NWS LOX afternoon advisories could refine probabilities before resolution via official KLAX data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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