The market consensus strongly favors a highest temperature of 13°C in Wellington today, driven by MetService forecasts showing a daytime maximum near that level amid stable high-pressure conditions and mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover between 12–15°C during Southern Hemisphere autumn, supported by recent observational data from NIWA stations showing no significant warming trend over the past 48 hours. Global model runs, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, maintain tight agreement on minimal afternoon variability, keeping any surge above 14°C unlikely before midnight. A rapid cloud break or unexpected northerly shift could theoretically challenge the threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 99.8%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$48,287 거래량
$48,287 거래량
2026.05.16
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.8%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$48,287 거래량
$48,287 거래량
2026.05.16
13°C
$12,385 거래량
100%
14°C
$9,005 거래량
<1%
15°C
$4,643 거래량
<1%
16°C or higher
$3,472 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus strongly favors a highest temperature of 13°C in Wellington today, driven by MetService forecasts showing a daytime maximum near that level amid stable high-pressure conditions and mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover between 12–15°C during Southern Hemisphere autumn, supported by recent observational data from NIWA stations showing no significant warming trend over the past 48 hours. Global model runs, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, maintain tight agreement on minimal afternoon variability, keeping any surge above 14°C unlikely before midnight. A rapid cloud break or unexpected northerly shift could theoretically challenge the threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
거래량
$48,287종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus strongly favors a highest temperature of 13°C in Wellington today, driven by MetService forecasts showing a daytime maximum near that level amid stable high-pressure conditions and mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover between 12–15°C during Southern Hemisphere autumn, supported by recent observational data from NIWA stations showing no significant warming trend over the past 48 hours. Global model runs, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, maintain tight agreement on minimal afternoon variability, keeping any surge above 14°C unlikely before midnight. A rapid cloud break or unexpected northerly shift could theoretically challenge the threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$48,287종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThe market consensus strongly favors a highest temperature of 13°C in Wellington today, driven by MetService forecasts showing a daytime maximum near that level amid stable high-pressure conditions and mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover between 12–15°C during Southern Hemisphere autumn, supported by recent observational data from NIWA stations showing no significant warming trend over the past 48 hours. Global model runs, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, maintain tight agreement on minimal afternoon variability, keeping any surge above 14°C unlikely before midnight. A rapid cloud break or unexpected northerly shift could theoretically challenge the threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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