Trader consensus implies a 91.8% probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, anchored by CDC and WHO assessments of the recent Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship, limited to eight cases (six confirmed, two suspected) and three deaths as of May 8, with no sustained human-to-human transmission beyond the vessel. This zoonotic pathogen spreads primarily via infected rodent excreta, and even the rare person-to-person capability of Andes virus requires prolonged close contact, as seen in prior isolated South American chains. 2025 saw just 229 cases across eight Americas countries (25.7% case-fatality rate), far below pandemic thresholds. Realistic challenges include undetected spread from disembarking passengers or climate-fueled surges in endemic regions like Argentina, with key surveillance updates expected from ongoing multi-country probes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 한타바이러스 대유행?
2026년 한타바이러스 대유행?
예
$9,065,666 거래량
$9,065,666 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$9,065,666 거래량
$9,065,666 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus implies a 91.8% probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, anchored by CDC and WHO assessments of the recent Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship, limited to eight cases (six confirmed, two suspected) and three deaths as of May 8, with no sustained human-to-human transmission beyond the vessel. This zoonotic pathogen spreads primarily via infected rodent excreta, and even the rare person-to-person capability of Andes virus requires prolonged close contact, as seen in prior isolated South American chains. 2025 saw just 229 cases across eight Americas countries (25.7% case-fatality rate), far below pandemic thresholds. Realistic challenges include undetected spread from disembarking passengers or climate-fueled surges in endemic regions like Argentina, with key surveillance updates expected from ongoing multi-country probes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
거래량
$9,065,666종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus implies a 91.8% probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, anchored by CDC and WHO assessments of the recent Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship, limited to eight cases (six confirmed, two suspected) and three deaths as of May 8, with no sustained human-to-human transmission beyond the vessel. This zoonotic pathogen spreads primarily via infected rodent excreta, and even the rare person-to-person capability of Andes virus requires prolonged close contact, as seen in prior isolated South American chains. 2025 saw just 229 cases across eight Americas countries (25.7% case-fatality rate), far below pandemic thresholds. Realistic challenges include undetected spread from disembarking passengers or climate-fueled surges in endemic regions like Argentina, with key surveillance updates expected from ongoing multi-country probes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$9,065,718종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 91.8% probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, anchored by CDC and WHO assessments of the recent Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship, limited to eight cases (six confirmed, two suspected) and three deaths as of May 8, with no sustained human-to-human transmission beyond the vessel. This zoonotic pathogen spreads primarily via infected rodent excreta, and even the rare person-to-person capability of Andes virus requires prolonged close contact, as seen in prior isolated South American chains. 2025 saw just 229 cases across eight Americas countries (25.7% case-fatality rate), far below pandemic thresholds. Realistic challenges include undetected spread from disembarking passengers or climate-fueled surges in endemic regions like Argentina, with key surveillance updates expected from ongoing multi-country probes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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