Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 28일 청두에서 가장 높은 기온?
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
31°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C
21%
31°C
15%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
31°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C
21%
31°C
15%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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