Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 26일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
82-83°F 99.4%
84-85°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
$130,829 거래량
$130,829 거래량
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
99%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 99.4%
84-85°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
$130,829 거래량
$130,829 거래량
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
99%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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