Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 26?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 26?
31°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$241,300 거래량
$241,300 거래량
2026.06.26
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$241,300 거래량
$241,300 거래량
2026.06.26
27°C or below
$2,732 거래량
<1%
28°C
$6,326 거래량
<1%
29°C
$28,295 거래량
<1%
30°C
$35,513 거래량
<1%
31°C
$56,738 거래량
100%
32°C
$41,218 거래량
<1%
33°C
$51,151 거래량
<1%
34°C
$12,212 거래량
<1%
35°C
$3,878 거래량
<1%
36°C
$1,913 거래량
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,323 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$241,300종료일
2026.06.26마켓 개설일
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$241,300종료일
2026.06.26마켓 개설일
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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