Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–31°C for June 28, with high humidity and a strong chance of showers, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 30°C and 31°C. These probabilities reflect trader assessment of typical late-June subtropical conditions, where monsoon influences and seasonal warming trends support maxima near the upper end of the normal 28–32°C range. Above-normal temperatures expected for June–August per long-term HKO guidance further bolster this cluster, while model consensus shows limited risk of extremes above 32°C or below 29°C absent major atmospheric shifts. Updated forecasts in the coming days could refine these implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 28일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 온도는?
30°C 48%
31°C 28%
29°C 19%
28°C 3.3%
$22,014 거래량
$22,014 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
48%
31°C
28%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 48%
31°C 28%
29°C 19%
28°C 3.3%
$22,014 거래량
$22,014 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
48%
31°C
28%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–31°C for June 28, with high humidity and a strong chance of showers, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 30°C and 31°C. These probabilities reflect trader assessment of typical late-June subtropical conditions, where monsoon influences and seasonal warming trends support maxima near the upper end of the normal 28–32°C range. Above-normal temperatures expected for June–August per long-term HKO guidance further bolster this cluster, while model consensus shows limited risk of extremes above 32°C or below 29°C absent major atmospheric shifts. Updated forecasts in the coming days could refine these implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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