**Strong southerly winds and persistent rain are the dominant factors capping Wellington's expected maximum on June 27.** Official MetService guidance issued June 24–25 forecasts a high near 10°C under gale-force southerlies and widespread rain, consistent with cooler maritime air advection from the Southern Ocean that limits daytime warming. This setup typically suppresses maxima by several degrees compared with climatological June averages of 13–14°C. Traders have priced 11–12°C outcomes highest (combined ~69% implied probability), reflecting model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the southerly surge and possible modest warming if the front shifts or clears earlier than expected. Recent June warmth, including record highs early in the month, provides context for why probabilities remain spread rather than locked on lower values. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 27일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
6월 27일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
신규
$47,585 거래량
신규
$47,585 거래량
2026.06.27
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
신규
$47,585 거래량
신규
$47,585 거래량
2026.06.27
5°C or below
$910 거래량
<1%
6°C
$2,632 거래량
<1%
7°C
$1,189 거래량
<1%
8°C
$1,130 거래량
<1%
9°C
$2,676 거래량
<1%
10°C
$14,168 거래량
<1%
11°C
$7,942 거래량
49%
12°C
$7,591 거래량
49%
13°C
$5,432 거래량
1%
14°C
$2,065 거래량
<1%
15°C or higher
$1,850 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong southerly winds and persistent rain are the dominant factors capping Wellington's expected maximum on June 27.** Official MetService guidance issued June 24–25 forecasts a high near 10°C under gale-force southerlies and widespread rain, consistent with cooler maritime air advection from the Southern Ocean that limits daytime warming. This setup typically suppresses maxima by several degrees compared with climatological June averages of 13–14°C.
Traders have priced 11–12°C outcomes highest (combined ~69% implied probability), reflecting model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the southerly surge and possible modest warming if the front shifts or clears earlier than expected. Recent June warmth, including record highs early in the month, provides context for why probabilities remain spread rather than locked on lower values. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$47,585종료일
2026.06.27마켓 개설일
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong southerly winds and persistent rain are the dominant factors capping Wellington's expected maximum on June 27.** Official MetService guidance issued June 24–25 forecasts a high near 10°C under gale-force southerlies and widespread rain, consistent with cooler maritime air advection from the Southern Ocean that limits daytime warming. This setup typically suppresses maxima by several degrees compared with climatological June averages of 13–14°C.
Traders have priced 11–12°C outcomes highest (combined ~69% implied probability), reflecting model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the southerly surge and possible modest warming if the front shifts or clears earlier than expected. Recent June warmth, including record highs early in the month, provides context for why probabilities remain spread rather than locked on lower values. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$47,585종료일
2026.06.27마켓 개설일
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Strong southerly winds and persistent rain are the dominant factors capping Wellington's expected maximum on June 27.** Official MetService guidance issued June 24–25 forecasts a high near 10°C under gale-force southerlies and widespread rain, consistent with cooler maritime air advection from the Southern Ocean that limits daytime warming. This setup typically suppresses maxima by several degrees compared with climatological June averages of 13–14°C. Traders have priced 11–12°C outcomes highest (combined ~69% implied probability), reflecting model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the southerly surge and possible modest warming if the front shifts or clears earlier than expected. Recent June warmth, including record highs early in the month, provides context for why probabilities remain spread rather than locked on lower values. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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