Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 26일 토론토에서 가장 높은 기온?
6월 26일 토론토에서 가장 높은 기온?
24°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$63,502 거래량
$63,502 거래량
2026.06.26
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$63,502 거래량
$63,502 거래량
2026.06.26
19°C or below
$2,026 거래량
<1%
20°C
$1,852 거래량
<1%
21°C
$6,110 거래량
<1%
22°C
$8,924 거래량
<1%
23°C
$9,438 거래량
<1%
24°C
$16,093 거래량
100%
25°C
$11,097 거래량
<1%
26°C
$4,106 거래량
1%
27°C
$2,201 거래량
<1%
28°C
$509 거래량
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,146 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
거래량
$63,502종료일
2026.06.26마켓 개설일
Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$63,502종료일
2026.06.26마켓 개설일
Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ETRecent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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