Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with highs near 38–40°C through June 25–26, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and northeasterly flow suppressing cloud cover. By June 27, ensemble guidance shows modest moderation to around 36–38°C as a weakening front introduces thundery showers and slightly cooler maritime air, creating the main uncertainty. Official outlooks place the most likely maximum near or just below 38°C, consistent with historical late-June extremes during similar setups, while rapid model shifts in storm timing or intensity could push readings higher or lower. This scientific consensus on borderline conditions underpins the market's slight tilt toward 37°C or below.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 27일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
37°C or below 92%
38°C 3.5%
39°C 2.0%
41°C <1%
$65,670 거래량
$65,670 거래량
37°C or below
92%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
37°C or below 92%
38°C 3.5%
39°C 2.0%
41°C <1%
$65,670 거래량
$65,670 거래량
37°C or below
92%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 25, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with highs near 38–40°C through June 25–26, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and northeasterly flow suppressing cloud cover. By June 27, ensemble guidance shows modest moderation to around 36–38°C as a weakening front introduces thundery showers and slightly cooler maritime air, creating the main uncertainty. Official outlooks place the most likely maximum near or just below 38°C, consistent with historical late-June extremes during similar setups, while rapid model shifts in storm timing or intensity could push readings higher or lower. This scientific consensus on borderline conditions underpins the market's slight tilt toward 37°C or below.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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