Current numerical weather prediction ensembles show Shanghai's June 28 high most likely near 27–28 °C, with the tight spread between these outcomes reflecting modest differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and steering flow from the western Pacific subtropical high during the late Meiyu period. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) currently favors partly cloudy to overcast conditions that limit daytime heating while humidity remains elevated. Small revisions in forecast timing of any passing disturbances or changes in low-level wind direction could shift the peak by 1 °C, sustaining the close market split until the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 28일 상하이에서 가장 높은 온도는?
28°C 38%
29°C 26%
27°C 21%
30°C 9.8%
$15,438 거래량
$15,438 거래량
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
21%
28°C
38%
29°C
26%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 26%
27°C 21%
30°C 9.8%
$15,438 거래량
$15,438 거래량
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
21%
28°C
38%
29°C
26%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather prediction ensembles show Shanghai's June 28 high most likely near 27–28 °C, with the tight spread between these outcomes reflecting modest differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and steering flow from the western Pacific subtropical high during the late Meiyu period. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) currently favors partly cloudy to overcast conditions that limit daytime heating while humidity remains elevated. Small revisions in forecast timing of any passing disturbances or changes in low-level wind direction could shift the peak by 1 °C, sustaining the close market split until the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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