Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 30일 서울 최저 기온?
21°C 39%
22°C 32%
20°C 19%
19°C 18%
16°C 이하
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
18%
20°C
19%
21°C
39%
22°C
32%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C 이상
3%
21°C 39%
22°C 32%
20°C 19%
19°C 18%
16°C 이하
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
18%
20°C
19%
21°C
39%
22°C
32%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C 이상
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문