Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 28일 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온?
6월 28일 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온?
34°C 39%
35°C 35%
36°C 15%
33°C 10.5%
신규
$17,048 거래량
신규
$17,048 거래량
2026.06.28
32°C or below
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
39%
35°C
35%
36°C
15%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 35%
36°C 15%
33°C 10.5%
신규
$17,048 거래량
신규
$17,048 거래량
2026.06.28
32°C or below
$624 거래량
3%
33°C
$935 거래량
11%
34°C
$1,335 거래량
39%
35°C
$2,173 거래량
35%
36°C
$7,881 거래량
15%
37°C
$1,195 거래량
1%
38°C
$1,355 거래량
1%
39°C
$468 거래량
<1%
40°C
$511 거래량
<1%
41°C
$311 거래량
<1%
42°C or higher
$259 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$17,048종료일
2026.06.28마켓 개설일
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$17,048종료일
2026.06.28마켓 개설일
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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