Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime high of 68–72°F in San Francisco on May 18, supported by clear skies, light onshore flow, and seasonal warming typical of mid-May. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and global ensembles shows minimal cloud cover and temperatures rising above the climatological average of 66°F, creating strong trader alignment behind the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 94.5% implied probability. Minor adjustments remain possible from late-day marine layer development or small forecast shifts, though current conditions make sub-68°F readings unlikely without an unexpected cooling surge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 샌프란시스코에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 18일 샌프란시스코에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
68°F or higher 94%
66-67°F 5%
64-65°F 4.5%
62-63°F 1.9%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
5%
68°F or higher
94%
68°F or higher 94%
66-67°F 5%
64-65°F 4.5%
62-63°F 1.9%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
49°F or below
$108 거래량
<1%
50-51°F
$105 거래량
<1%
52-53°F
$105 거래량
<1%
54-55°F
$105 거래량
<1%
56-57°F
$105 거래량
<1%
58-59°F
$117 거래량
<1%
60-61°F
$55 거래량
1%
62-63°F
$5 거래량
2%
64-65°F
$0 거래량
4%
66-67°F
$44 거래량
5%
68°F or higher
$25 거래량
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime high of 68–72°F in San Francisco on May 18, supported by clear skies, light onshore flow, and seasonal warming typical of mid-May. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and global ensembles shows minimal cloud cover and temperatures rising above the climatological average of 66°F, creating strong trader alignment behind the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 94.5% implied probability. Minor adjustments remain possible from late-day marine layer development or small forecast shifts, though current conditions make sub-68°F readings unlikely without an unexpected cooling surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$758종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime high of 68–72°F in San Francisco on May 18, supported by clear skies, light onshore flow, and seasonal warming typical of mid-May. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and global ensembles shows minimal cloud cover and temperatures rising above the climatological average of 66°F, creating strong trader alignment behind the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 94.5% implied probability. Minor adjustments remain possible from late-day marine layer development or small forecast shifts, though current conditions make sub-68°F readings unlikely without an unexpected cooling surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$758종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime high of 68–72°F in San Francisco on May 18, supported by clear skies, light onshore flow, and seasonal warming typical of mid-May. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and global ensembles shows minimal cloud cover and temperatures rising above the climatological average of 66°F, creating strong trader alignment behind the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 94.5% implied probability. Minor adjustments remain possible from late-day marine layer development or small forecast shifts, though current conditions make sub-68°F readings unlikely without an unexpected cooling surge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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