National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 66-68°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) today under partly sunny skies and west winds of 8-15 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 78% implied probability for 66°F or higher. This positioning stems from model consensus showing gradual morning marine layer burn-off amid a typical mid-May high-pressure ridge pattern, aligning with historical May averages of 67°F daily highs and low precipitation risk. Persistent coastal stratus or gustier winds could limit peaks to 64-65°F (15.5% odds), reflecting inherent forecast uncertainty in microclimatic fog dynamics. Hourly Automated Surface Observing System data from NOAA will refine the peak through late afternoon, with resolution based on official KSFO maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
66°F or higher 79%
64-65°F 16%
62-63°F 4.0%
60-61°F <1%
신규
$17,243 거래량
신규
$17,243 거래량
2026.05.15
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
16%
66°F or higher
79%
66°F or higher 79%
64-65°F 16%
62-63°F 4.0%
60-61°F <1%
신규
$17,243 거래량
신규
$17,243 거래량
2026.05.15
47°F or below
$982 거래량
<1%
48-49°F
$900 거래량
<1%
50-51°F
$553 거래량
<1%
52-53°F
$1,088 거래량
<1%
54-55°F
$3,010 거래량
<1%
56-57°F
$2,434 거래량
<1%
58-59°F
$1,042 거래량
<1%
60-61°F
$876 거래량
1%
62-63°F
$2,119 거래량
4%
64-65°F
$2,135 거래량
16%
66°F or higher
$2,104 거래량
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 66-68°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) today under partly sunny skies and west winds of 8-15 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 78% implied probability for 66°F or higher. This positioning stems from model consensus showing gradual morning marine layer burn-off amid a typical mid-May high-pressure ridge pattern, aligning with historical May averages of 67°F daily highs and low precipitation risk. Persistent coastal stratus or gustier winds could limit peaks to 64-65°F (15.5% odds), reflecting inherent forecast uncertainty in microclimatic fog dynamics. Hourly Automated Surface Observing System data from NOAA will refine the peak through late afternoon, with resolution based on official KSFO maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
거래량
$17,243종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 66-68°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) today under partly sunny skies and west winds of 8-15 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 78% implied probability for 66°F or higher. This positioning stems from model consensus showing gradual morning marine layer burn-off amid a typical mid-May high-pressure ridge pattern, aligning with historical May averages of 67°F daily highs and low precipitation risk. Persistent coastal stratus or gustier winds could limit peaks to 64-65°F (15.5% odds), reflecting inherent forecast uncertainty in microclimatic fog dynamics. Hourly Automated Surface Observing System data from NOAA will refine the peak through late afternoon, with resolution based on official KSFO maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,243종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts project a high near 66-68°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) today under partly sunny skies and west winds of 8-15 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 78% implied probability for 66°F or higher. This positioning stems from model consensus showing gradual morning marine layer burn-off amid a typical mid-May high-pressure ridge pattern, aligning with historical May averages of 67°F daily highs and low precipitation risk. Persistent coastal stratus or gustier winds could limit peaks to 64-65°F (15.5% odds), reflecting inherent forecast uncertainty in microclimatic fog dynamics. Hourly Automated Surface Observing System data from NOAA will refine the peak through late afternoon, with resolution based on official KSFO maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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