Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 33°C or higher at 49.5% implied probability for Panama City, Florida, on May 17, driven by National Weather Service extended forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting daytime highs in the upper 88–92°F range (31–33°C) amid a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Southeast U.S. Recent 48-hour model updates have trended slightly warmer, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and low humidity enhancing solar heating potential above May climatological averages of 28–29°C. Lower outcomes like 31–32°C (20.5% each) reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and minor convective interference, while sub-30°C probabilities remain low. Watch for the NWS 12z forecast discussion on May 16, which could shift model consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 파나마시티에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 파나마시티에서 가장 높은 기온?
33°C or higher 28%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 16%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C
22%
32°C
23%
33°C or higher
28%
33°C or higher 28%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 16%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
23°C or below
$5 거래량
<1%
24°C
$5 거래량
<1%
25°C
$60 거래량
1%
26°C
$10 거래량
3%
27°C
$5 거래량
4%
28°C
$5 거래량
4%
29°C
$0 거래량
16%
30°C
$0 거래량
16%
31°C
$0 거래량
22%
32°C
$0 거래량
23%
33°C or higher
$0 거래량
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 33°C or higher at 49.5% implied probability for Panama City, Florida, on May 17, driven by National Weather Service extended forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting daytime highs in the upper 88–92°F range (31–33°C) amid a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Southeast U.S. Recent 48-hour model updates have trended slightly warmer, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and low humidity enhancing solar heating potential above May climatological averages of 28–29°C. Lower outcomes like 31–32°C (20.5% each) reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and minor convective interference, while sub-30°C probabilities remain low. Watch for the NWS 12z forecast discussion on May 16, which could shift model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$90종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 33°C or higher at 49.5% implied probability for Panama City, Florida, on May 17, driven by National Weather Service extended forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting daytime highs in the upper 88–92°F range (31–33°C) amid a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Southeast U.S. Recent 48-hour model updates have trended slightly warmer, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and low humidity enhancing solar heating potential above May climatological averages of 28–29°C. Lower outcomes like 31–32°C (20.5% each) reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and minor convective interference, while sub-30°C probabilities remain low. Watch for the NWS 12z forecast discussion on May 16, which could shift model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$90종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 33°C or higher at 49.5% implied probability for Panama City, Florida, on May 17, driven by National Weather Service extended forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting daytime highs in the upper 88–92°F range (31–33°C) amid a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Southeast U.S. Recent 48-hour model updates have trended slightly warmer, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and low humidity enhancing solar heating potential above May climatological averages of 28–29°C. Lower outcomes like 31–32°C (20.5% each) reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and minor convective interference, while sub-30°C probabilities remain low. Watch for the NWS 12z forecast discussion on May 16, which could shift model consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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