Recent European forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF ensemble show Paris overnight lows clustering near 9–11°C on May 19, driven by a lingering cool maritime air mass and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Light northerly winds and scattered showers further suppress minimum readings below the May climatological average of 9–10°C at Paris-Le Bourget, the resolution station. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 8–11°C buckets reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing 8°C and thicker clouds or stronger mixing keeping readings at 10–11°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 19일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
5월 19일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
10°C 24%
11°C 19%
8°C 19%
9°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.05.19
5°C 이하
<1%
6°C
4%
7°C
6%
8°C
19%
9°C
15%
10°C
24%
11°C
19%
12°C
9%
13°C
5%
14°C
4%
15°C 이상
1%
10°C 24%
11°C 19%
8°C 19%
9°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.05.19
5°C 이하
$10 거래량
<1%
6°C
$42 거래량
4%
7°C
$20 거래량
6%
8°C
$0 거래량
19%
9°C
$0 거래량
15%
10°C
$6 거래량
24%
11°C
$0 거래량
19%
12°C
$0 거래량
9%
13°C
$9 거래량
5%
14°C
$10 거래량
4%
15°C 이상
$91 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF ensemble show Paris overnight lows clustering near 9–11°C on May 19, driven by a lingering cool maritime air mass and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Light northerly winds and scattered showers further suppress minimum readings below the May climatological average of 9–10°C at Paris-Le Bourget, the resolution station. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 8–11°C buckets reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing 8°C and thicker clouds or stronger mixing keeping readings at 10–11°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$189종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF ensemble show Paris overnight lows clustering near 9–11°C on May 19, driven by a lingering cool maritime air mass and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Light northerly winds and scattered showers further suppress minimum readings below the May climatological average of 9–10°C at Paris-Le Bourget, the resolution station. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 8–11°C buckets reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing 8°C and thicker clouds or stronger mixing keeping readings at 10–11°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$189종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent European forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF ensemble show Paris overnight lows clustering near 9–11°C on May 19, driven by a lingering cool maritime air mass and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Light northerly winds and scattered showers further suppress minimum readings below the May climatological average of 9–10°C at Paris-Le Bourget, the resolution station. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 8–11°C buckets reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing 8°C and thicker clouds or stronger mixing keeping readings at 10–11°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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