Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast as of May 14 projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 near 25°C under persistent clear skies and a high-pressure ridge fostering above-seasonal warmth, driving trader consensus toward 25°C (31%) and 26°C or higher (37.5%). Recent observations, including a 25°C peak on May 13, reflect southerly winds advecting mild air and strong solar insolation amid low cloud cover, exceeding mid-May climatological norms of 23-24°C. However, model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show minor spread of 1-2°C due to uncertainties in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential sea-breeze moderation, keeping 24°C viable at 19.5%; watch KMA's next update tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official station data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
26°C or higher 37%
25°C 31%
24°C 21%
23°C 7%
$27,953 거래량
$27,953 거래량
16도 이하
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
21%
25°C
31%
26°C or higher
37%
26°C or higher 37%
25°C 31%
24°C 21%
23°C 7%
$27,953 거래량
$27,953 거래량
16도 이하
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
21%
25°C
31%
26°C or higher
37%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast as of May 14 projects Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 near 25°C under persistent clear skies and a high-pressure ridge fostering above-seasonal warmth, driving trader consensus toward 25°C (31%) and 26°C or higher (37.5%). Recent observations, including a 25°C peak on May 13, reflect southerly winds advecting mild air and strong solar insolation amid low cloud cover, exceeding mid-May climatological norms of 23-24°C. However, model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show minor spread of 1-2°C due to uncertainties in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential sea-breeze moderation, keeping 24°C viable at 19.5%; watch KMA's next update tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official station data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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