Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 80-81°F (36.5% implied probability) for Denver's May 16 high temperature, closely trailed by 78-79°F (28%), reflecting ensemble spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs clustering forecasts at 77-82°F amid inherent model uncertainty. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies drives downslope winds and abundant sunshine, boosting potential for above-normal heat—May 16 climatological average is 72°F—while low soil moisture from recent dry conditions enhances daytime warming. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon cloud incursions from an approaching Pacific shortwave, which could suppress peaks by 2-3°F if arriving early, versus prolonged clear skies favoring the upper end. National Weather Service guidance aligns near 78°F; watch 12z model updates and evening forecast refinements for shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 12%
신규
$22,580 거래량
신규
$22,580 거래량
2026.05.16
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
18%
84°F or higher
6%
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 12%
신규
$22,580 거래량
신규
$22,580 거래량
2026.05.16
65°F or below
$12,655 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$2,132 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$689 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$1,286 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$1,287 거래량
1%
74-75°F
$714 거래량
2%
76-77°F
$593 거래량
12%
78-79°F
$696 거래량
30%
80-81°F
$574 거래량
35%
82-83°F
$948 거래량
18%
84°F or higher
$1,015 거래량
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 80-81°F (36.5% implied probability) for Denver's May 16 high temperature, closely trailed by 78-79°F (28%), reflecting ensemble spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs clustering forecasts at 77-82°F amid inherent model uncertainty. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies drives downslope winds and abundant sunshine, boosting potential for above-normal heat—May 16 climatological average is 72°F—while low soil moisture from recent dry conditions enhances daytime warming. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon cloud incursions from an approaching Pacific shortwave, which could suppress peaks by 2-3°F if arriving early, versus prolonged clear skies favoring the upper end. National Weather Service guidance aligns near 78°F; watch 12z model updates and evening forecast refinements for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$22,580종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 80-81°F (36.5% implied probability) for Denver's May 16 high temperature, closely trailed by 78-79°F (28%), reflecting ensemble spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs clustering forecasts at 77-82°F amid inherent model uncertainty. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies drives downslope winds and abundant sunshine, boosting potential for above-normal heat—May 16 climatological average is 72°F—while low soil moisture from recent dry conditions enhances daytime warming. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon cloud incursions from an approaching Pacific shortwave, which could suppress peaks by 2-3°F if arriving early, versus prolonged clear skies favoring the upper end. National Weather Service guidance aligns near 78°F; watch 12z model updates and evening forecast refinements for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$22,580종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 80-81°F (36.5% implied probability) for Denver's May 16 high temperature, closely trailed by 78-79°F (28%), reflecting ensemble spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs clustering forecasts at 77-82°F amid inherent model uncertainty. A persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies drives downslope winds and abundant sunshine, boosting potential for above-normal heat—May 16 climatological average is 72°F—while low soil moisture from recent dry conditions enhances daytime warming. Differentiating factors include timing of afternoon cloud incursions from an approaching Pacific shortwave, which could suppress peaks by 2-3°F if arriving early, versus prolonged clear skies favoring the upper end. National Weather Service guidance aligns near 78°F; watch 12z model updates and evening forecast refinements for shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문