Traders show near-certainty that Denver’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach at least 74°F, anchored in National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Stable high-pressure ridging, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies are expected to drive rapid boundary-layer warming across the Front Range, where downslope winds further enhance temperatures. Current NOAA model consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs near 71°F frequently climb higher during warm advection episodes. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold-front passage could realistically prevent the threshold, though steering patterns and ensemble spread make such a shift improbable before peak heating occurs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$51,118 거래량
$51,118 거래량
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$51,118 거래량
$51,118 거래량
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Traders show near-certainty that Denver’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach at least 74°F, anchored in National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Stable high-pressure ridging, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies are expected to drive rapid boundary-layer warming across the Front Range, where downslope winds further enhance temperatures. Current NOAA model consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs near 71°F frequently climb higher during warm advection episodes. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold-front passage could realistically prevent the threshold, though steering patterns and ensemble spread make such a shift improbable before peak heating occurs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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