Recent short-range model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over eastern China, suppressing cold-air advection and limiting overnight radiative cooling at Shanghai Pudong International Airport. This setup supports trader consensus favoring a 21–22°C minimum on May 20, with implied probabilities reflecting stable springtime humidity and light southeasterly winds that trap heat near the surface. Key variables include potential model spread in steering patterns, which could allow brief clearing and drop readings toward 19°C or below, versus sustained cloud cover holding temperatures near 23°C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average lows of 16–18°C, but current observations of above-normal warmth have shifted sentiment away from cooler outcomes. Fresh ensemble updates and official guidance expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 20일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
5월 20일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
22°C 33%
15°C 이하 17.5%
20°C 16%
21°C 16%
신규
신규
2026.05.20
15°C 이하
18%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
16%
21°C
16%
22°C
33%
23°C
10%
24°C
5%
25°C 이상
3%
22°C 33%
15°C 이하 17.5%
20°C 16%
21°C 16%
신규
신규
2026.05.20
15°C 이하
$28 거래량
18%
16°C
$50 거래량
3%
17°C
$20 거래량
3%
18°C
$0 거래량
3%
19°C
$6 거래량
8%
20°C
$12 거래량
16%
21°C
$6 거래량
16%
22°C
$5 거래량
33%
23°C
$6 거래량
10%
24°C
$0 거래량
5%
25°C 이상
$58 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over eastern China, suppressing cold-air advection and limiting overnight radiative cooling at Shanghai Pudong International Airport. This setup supports trader consensus favoring a 21–22°C minimum on May 20, with implied probabilities reflecting stable springtime humidity and light southeasterly winds that trap heat near the surface. Key variables include potential model spread in steering patterns, which could allow brief clearing and drop readings toward 19°C or below, versus sustained cloud cover holding temperatures near 23°C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average lows of 16–18°C, but current observations of above-normal warmth have shifted sentiment away from cooler outcomes. Fresh ensemble updates and official guidance expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$191종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over eastern China, suppressing cold-air advection and limiting overnight radiative cooling at Shanghai Pudong International Airport. This setup supports trader consensus favoring a 21–22°C minimum on May 20, with implied probabilities reflecting stable springtime humidity and light southeasterly winds that trap heat near the surface. Key variables include potential model spread in steering patterns, which could allow brief clearing and drop readings toward 19°C or below, versus sustained cloud cover holding temperatures near 23°C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average lows of 16–18°C, but current observations of above-normal warmth have shifted sentiment away from cooler outcomes. Fresh ensemble updates and official guidance expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$191종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over eastern China, suppressing cold-air advection and limiting overnight radiative cooling at Shanghai Pudong International Airport. This setup supports trader consensus favoring a 21–22°C minimum on May 20, with implied probabilities reflecting stable springtime humidity and light southeasterly winds that trap heat near the surface. Key variables include potential model spread in steering patterns, which could allow brief clearing and drop readings toward 19°C or below, versus sustained cloud cover holding temperatures near 23°C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average lows of 16–18°C, but current observations of above-normal warmth have shifted sentiment away from cooler outcomes. Fresh ensemble updates and official guidance expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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