Current forecast ensembles from global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on an overnight low of 19 °C in Shanghai on May 17, anchoring the 96.9 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology places typical minima between 17 °C and 21 °C under neutral spring conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon and variable cloud cover. A persistent high-pressure ridge with reduced marine advection would support this reading, while any unexpected increase in boundary-layer moisture or stronger sea-breeze flow could shift the minimum into the 18 °C bin. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and official observations for any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
5월 17일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
19°C 97.8%
18°C 2.7%
14°C 이하 <1%
16°C <1%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
14°C 이하
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
98%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C 이상
<1%
19°C 97.8%
18°C 2.7%
14°C 이하 <1%
16°C <1%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
14°C 이하
$776 거래량
1%
15°C
$626 거래량
<1%
16°C
$318 거래량
<1%
17°C
$691 거래량
<1%
18°C
$436 거래량
3%
19°C
$850 거래량
98%
20°C
$2,378 거래량
<1%
21°C
$859 거래량
<1%
22°C
$395 거래량
<1%
23°C
$551 거래량
<1%
24°C 이상
$745 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on an overnight low of 19 °C in Shanghai on May 17, anchoring the 96.9 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology places typical minima between 17 °C and 21 °C under neutral spring conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon and variable cloud cover. A persistent high-pressure ridge with reduced marine advection would support this reading, while any unexpected increase in boundary-layer moisture or stronger sea-breeze flow could shift the minimum into the 18 °C bin. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and official observations for any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
거래량
$8,624종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on an overnight low of 19 °C in Shanghai on May 17, anchoring the 96.9 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology places typical minima between 17 °C and 21 °C under neutral spring conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon and variable cloud cover. A persistent high-pressure ridge with reduced marine advection would support this reading, while any unexpected increase in boundary-layer moisture or stronger sea-breeze flow could shift the minimum into the 18 °C bin. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and official observations for any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$8,624종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETCurrent forecast ensembles from global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on an overnight low of 19 °C in Shanghai on May 17, anchoring the 96.9 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology places typical minima between 17 °C and 21 °C under neutral spring conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon and variable cloud cover. A persistent high-pressure ridge with reduced marine advection would support this reading, while any unexpected increase in boundary-layer moisture or stronger sea-breeze flow could shift the minimum into the 18 °C bin. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and official observations for any last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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