Latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF show Shanghai's May 16 minimum temperature clustering tightly around 18-20°C, driven by persistent southerly winds delivering warm advection from the East China Sea and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. The razor-thin odds between 19°C (32.5% implied probability) and 18°C (30.0%) reflect ensemble spread—cooler ECMWF members eye 18°C if clouds thin pre-dawn, while warmer GFS runs favor 19-20°C under sustained moisture. Recent verified lows near 19°C on May 13-15 align with mid-May climatology (~18°C average), but urban heat island effects add ~1-2°C. Watch CMA's evening update and Xujiahui station observations for final cues amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 16일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
5월 16일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
19°C 38%
18°C 24%
20°C 17%
17°C 13%
신규
$10,535 거래량
신규
$10,535 거래량
2026.05.16
14°C 이하
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
13%
18°C
30%
19°C
43%
20°C
22%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C 이상
<1%
19°C 38%
18°C 24%
20°C 17%
17°C 13%
신규
$10,535 거래량
신규
$10,535 거래량
2026.05.16
14°C 이하
$2,870 거래량
<1%
15°C
$2,750 거래량
1%
16°C
$757 거래량
3%
17°C
$1,038 거래량
13%
18°C
$128 거래량
30%
19°C
$137 거래량
43%
20°C
$42 거래량
22%
21°C
$20 거래량
4%
22°C
$248 거래량
1%
23°C
$666 거래량
<1%
24°C 이상
$1,879 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF show Shanghai's May 16 minimum temperature clustering tightly around 18-20°C, driven by persistent southerly winds delivering warm advection from the East China Sea and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. The razor-thin odds between 19°C (32.5% implied probability) and 18°C (30.0%) reflect ensemble spread—cooler ECMWF members eye 18°C if clouds thin pre-dawn, while warmer GFS runs favor 19-20°C under sustained moisture. Recent verified lows near 19°C on May 13-15 align with mid-May climatology (~18°C average), but urban heat island effects add ~1-2°C. Watch CMA's evening update and Xujiahui station observations for final cues amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$10,535종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF show Shanghai's May 16 minimum temperature clustering tightly around 18-20°C, driven by persistent southerly winds delivering warm advection from the East China Sea and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. The razor-thin odds between 19°C (32.5% implied probability) and 18°C (30.0%) reflect ensemble spread—cooler ECMWF members eye 18°C if clouds thin pre-dawn, while warmer GFS runs favor 19-20°C under sustained moisture. Recent verified lows near 19°C on May 13-15 align with mid-May climatology (~18°C average), but urban heat island effects add ~1-2°C. Watch CMA's evening update and Xujiahui station observations for final cues amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$10,535종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF show Shanghai's May 16 minimum temperature clustering tightly around 18-20°C, driven by persistent southerly winds delivering warm advection from the East China Sea and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. The razor-thin odds between 19°C (32.5% implied probability) and 18°C (30.0%) reflect ensemble spread—cooler ECMWF members eye 18°C if clouds thin pre-dawn, while warmer GFS runs favor 19-20°C under sustained moisture. Recent verified lows near 19°C on May 13-15 align with mid-May climatology (~18°C average), but urban heat island effects add ~1-2°C. Watch CMA's evening update and Xujiahui station observations for final cues amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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