Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on May 15, with 25°C leading at 32.5% implied probability amid closely matched 24°C (24.5%) and 26°C (25.0%) outcomes. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates and international ensembles like ECMWF indicate southerly winds bringing warm, moist air from the East China Sea, supporting highs near 25°C, but a weak upper-level trough introduces variable mid-level clouds that could suppress peaks to 24°C or allow brief sun breaks for 26°C via urban heat island amplification at the coastal airport site. Typical mid-May climatology averages 25°C, with light sea breezes adding moderation; final hourly observations from Pudong station expected by evening will resolve amid model spread.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
25°C 34%
24°C 26%
26°C 26%
23°C 11%
신규
$18,907 거래량
신규
$18,907 거래량
2026.05.15
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
11%
24°C
26%
25°C
34%
26°C
26%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
24°C 26%
26°C 26%
23°C 11%
신규
$18,907 거래량
신규
$18,907 거래량
2026.05.15
20°C or below
$3,217 거래량
<1%
21°C
$2,419 거래량
<1%
22°C
$2,216 거래량
1%
23°C
$1,427 거래량
11%
24°C
$1,164 거래량
26%
25°C
$1,281 거래량
34%
26°C
$1,129 거래량
26%
27°C
$1,475 거래량
7%
28°C
$2,301 거래량
1%
29°C
$1,272 거래량
1%
30°C or higher
$1,013 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on May 15, with 25°C leading at 32.5% implied probability amid closely matched 24°C (24.5%) and 26°C (25.0%) outcomes. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates and international ensembles like ECMWF indicate southerly winds bringing warm, moist air from the East China Sea, supporting highs near 25°C, but a weak upper-level trough introduces variable mid-level clouds that could suppress peaks to 24°C or allow brief sun breaks for 26°C via urban heat island amplification at the coastal airport site. Typical mid-May climatology averages 25°C, with light sea breezes adding moderation; final hourly observations from Pudong station expected by evening will resolve amid model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$18,907종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on May 15, with 25°C leading at 32.5% implied probability amid closely matched 24°C (24.5%) and 26°C (25.0%) outcomes. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates and international ensembles like ECMWF indicate southerly winds bringing warm, moist air from the East China Sea, supporting highs near 25°C, but a weak upper-level trough introduces variable mid-level clouds that could suppress peaks to 24°C or allow brief sun breaks for 26°C via urban heat island amplification at the coastal airport site. Typical mid-May climatology averages 25°C, with light sea breezes adding moderation; final hourly observations from Pudong station expected by evening will resolve amid model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$18,907종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on May 15, with 25°C leading at 32.5% implied probability amid closely matched 24°C (24.5%) and 26°C (25.0%) outcomes. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates and international ensembles like ECMWF indicate southerly winds bringing warm, moist air from the East China Sea, supporting highs near 25°C, but a weak upper-level trough introduces variable mid-level clouds that could suppress peaks to 24°C or allow brief sun breaks for 26°C via urban heat island amplification at the coastal airport site. Typical mid-May climatology averages 25°C, with light sea breezes adding moderation; final hourly observations from Pudong station expected by evening will resolve amid model spread.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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