Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
25°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$66,442 거래량
$66,442 거래량
2026.05.14
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$66,442 거래량
$66,442 거래량
2026.05.14
23°C or below
$11,230 거래량
No
24°C
$10,500 거래량
No
25°C
$9,196 거래량
Yes
26°C
$3,953 거래량
No
27°C
$5,272 거래량
No
28°C
$4,810 거래량
No
29°C
$5,522 거래량
No
30°C
$5,097 거래량
No
31°C
$4,795 거래량
No
32°C
$2,148 거래량
No
33°C or higher
$3,920 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
거래량
$66,442종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$66,442종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 25°C at the primary monitoring station near Shuangliu International Airport, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as trader consensus solidifies with real-time data. Overcast skies and light winds throughout the day capped solar heating, aligning with typical mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs hover around 25–28°C but cloud cover often moderates peaks. GFS and ECMWF model runs earlier hinted at slightly warmer potential, but updated hourly readings dispelled that. Only an improbable late measurement revision or overlooked station data could challenge this, with final daily reports expected soon from CMA to lock resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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