Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 29°C (38.5% implied probability) and 28°C (29.5%) for Wuhan's May 15 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts amid uncertain cloud cover and shower timing. China Meteorological Administration models project 29°C under overcast skies, while ECMWF favors 28°C with partly cloudy conditions and 40-66% afternoon precipitation risk, consistent with persistent 80% relative humidity suppressing solar insolation and convective heating—evident in recent actuals of 28°C on May 10 after a 31°C peak on May 11. May climatology averages 28°C highs, but diel precipitation could shift the peak by 1°C; new CMA updates today may refine model consensus before observations finalize resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
29°C 38%
28°C 29%
30°C 23%
27°C 8%
신규
$11,755 거래량
신규
$11,755 거래량
2026.05.15
26°C or below
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
29%
29°C
38%
30°C
23%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
28°C 29%
30°C 23%
27°C 8%
신규
$11,755 거래량
신규
$11,755 거래량
2026.05.15
26°C or below
$2,501 거래량
2%
27°C
$874 거래량
8%
28°C
$675 거래량
29%
29°C
$618 거래량
38%
30°C
$818 거래량
23%
31°C
$906 거래량
5%
32°C
$1,369 거래량
1%
33°C
$924 거래량
<1%
34°C
$835 거래량
<1%
35°C
$978 거래량
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,827 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 29°C (38.5% implied probability) and 28°C (29.5%) for Wuhan's May 15 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts amid uncertain cloud cover and shower timing. China Meteorological Administration models project 29°C under overcast skies, while ECMWF favors 28°C with partly cloudy conditions and 40-66% afternoon precipitation risk, consistent with persistent 80% relative humidity suppressing solar insolation and convective heating—evident in recent actuals of 28°C on May 10 after a 31°C peak on May 11. May climatology averages 28°C highs, but diel precipitation could shift the peak by 1°C; new CMA updates today may refine model consensus before observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
거래량
$11,755종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 29°C (38.5% implied probability) and 28°C (29.5%) for Wuhan's May 15 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts amid uncertain cloud cover and shower timing. China Meteorological Administration models project 29°C under overcast skies, while ECMWF favors 28°C with partly cloudy conditions and 40-66% afternoon precipitation risk, consistent with persistent 80% relative humidity suppressing solar insolation and convective heating—evident in recent actuals of 28°C on May 10 after a 31°C peak on May 11. May climatology averages 28°C highs, but diel precipitation could shift the peak by 1°C; new CMA updates today may refine model consensus before observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$11,755종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 29°C (38.5% implied probability) and 28°C (29.5%) for Wuhan's May 15 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts amid uncertain cloud cover and shower timing. China Meteorological Administration models project 29°C under overcast skies, while ECMWF favors 28°C with partly cloudy conditions and 40-66% afternoon precipitation risk, consistent with persistent 80% relative humidity suppressing solar insolation and convective heating—evident in recent actuals of 28°C on May 10 after a 31°C peak on May 11. May climatology averages 28°C highs, but diel precipitation could shift the peak by 1°C; new CMA updates today may refine model consensus before observations finalize resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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