Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98% implied probability to a 23°C high temperature in Moscow today, strongly backed by the latest short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, which project a peak of up to 23°C under cloudy skies with occasional rain and easterly winds of 6-11 m/s. Current observations at Vnukovo International Airport— the market's resolution source via NOAA data—have already reached 23.1°C amid partial cloud breaks and light southerly breezes, enabling solar heating consistent with recent model nowcasts from RP5 and Gismeteo. This aligns with the return of meteorological summer, defined as daily averages above 15°C. Realistic challenges include intensified rain suppressing the peak to 22°C or unexpected clearing driving it to 24°C, though forecast stability limits such shifts; final hourly NOAA readings from Vnukovo will confirm by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
23°C 98.8%
24°C 2.8%
25°C 1.2%
26°C <1%
$52,746 거래량
$52,746 거래량
2026.05.14
23°C
99%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 98.8%
24°C 2.8%
25°C 1.2%
26°C <1%
$52,746 거래량
$52,746 거래량
2026.05.14
23°C
$5,055 거래량
99%
24°C
$3,811 거래량
3%
25°C
$4,697 거래량
1%
26°C
$6,168 거래량
<1%
27°C or higher
$8,869 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98% implied probability to a 23°C high temperature in Moscow today, strongly backed by the latest short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, which project a peak of up to 23°C under cloudy skies with occasional rain and easterly winds of 6-11 m/s. Current observations at Vnukovo International Airport— the market's resolution source via NOAA data—have already reached 23.1°C amid partial cloud breaks and light southerly breezes, enabling solar heating consistent with recent model nowcasts from RP5 and Gismeteo. This aligns with the return of meteorological summer, defined as daily averages above 15°C. Realistic challenges include intensified rain suppressing the peak to 22°C or unexpected clearing driving it to 24°C, though forecast stability limits such shifts; final hourly NOAA readings from Vnukovo will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
거래량
$52,746종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98% implied probability to a 23°C high temperature in Moscow today, strongly backed by the latest short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, which project a peak of up to 23°C under cloudy skies with occasional rain and easterly winds of 6-11 m/s. Current observations at Vnukovo International Airport— the market's resolution source via NOAA data—have already reached 23.1°C amid partial cloud breaks and light southerly breezes, enabling solar heating consistent with recent model nowcasts from RP5 and Gismeteo. This aligns with the return of meteorological summer, defined as daily averages above 15°C. Realistic challenges include intensified rain suppressing the peak to 22°C or unexpected clearing driving it to 24°C, though forecast stability limits such shifts; final hourly NOAA readings from Vnukovo will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$52,746종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98% implied probability to a 23°C high temperature in Moscow today, strongly backed by the latest short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, which project a peak of up to 23°C under cloudy skies with occasional rain and easterly winds of 6-11 m/s. Current observations at Vnukovo International Airport— the market's resolution source via NOAA data—have already reached 23.1°C amid partial cloud breaks and light southerly breezes, enabling solar heating consistent with recent model nowcasts from RP5 and Gismeteo. This aligns with the return of meteorological summer, defined as daily averages above 15°C. Realistic challenges include intensified rain suppressing the peak to 22°C or unexpected clearing driving it to 24°C, though forecast stability limits such shifts; final hourly NOAA readings from Vnukovo will confirm by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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