Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's May 15 high near 24°C at the resolving Incheon International Airport station under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds around 9 knots, and strong solar heating from minimal cloud cover. Traders, however, imply 58% odds for 26°C or higher and 32.5% for exactly 25°C, doubting the conservative guidance amid a sharp recent warming trend: May 12 peaked at 21°C, May 13 at 26°C, and May 14 neared 29°C due to persistent high-pressure ridging trapping warm air. Above-normal May climatology (average ~23°C) and GFS model ensembles signaling 1–3°C upside reinforce this sentiment; watch KMA's afternoon update for hourly refinements as sea breeze or added insulation could tip outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
26°C or higher 59%
25°C 33%
24°C 9%
23°C 2.3%
신규
$79,355 거래량
신규
$79,355 거래량
2026.05.15
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
33%
26°C or higher
59%
26°C or higher 59%
25°C 33%
24°C 9%
23°C 2.3%
신규
$79,355 거래량
신규
$79,355 거래량
2026.05.15
16°C or below
$3,463 거래량
<1%
17°C
$2,605 거래량
<1%
18°C
$19,578 거래량
<1%
19°C
$4,108 거래량
<1%
20°C
$4,817 거래량
<1%
21°C
$10,903 거래량
<1%
22°C
$13,371 거래량
1%
23°C
$7,774 거래량
2%
24°C
$2,912 거래량
9%
25°C
$3,037 거래량
33%
26°C or higher
$6,935 거래량
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's May 15 high near 24°C at the resolving Incheon International Airport station under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds around 9 knots, and strong solar heating from minimal cloud cover. Traders, however, imply 58% odds for 26°C or higher and 32.5% for exactly 25°C, doubting the conservative guidance amid a sharp recent warming trend: May 12 peaked at 21°C, May 13 at 26°C, and May 14 neared 29°C due to persistent high-pressure ridging trapping warm air. Above-normal May climatology (average ~23°C) and GFS model ensembles signaling 1–3°C upside reinforce this sentiment; watch KMA's afternoon update for hourly refinements as sea breeze or added insulation could tip outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$79,355종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's May 15 high near 24°C at the resolving Incheon International Airport station under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds around 9 knots, and strong solar heating from minimal cloud cover. Traders, however, imply 58% odds for 26°C or higher and 32.5% for exactly 25°C, doubting the conservative guidance amid a sharp recent warming trend: May 12 peaked at 21°C, May 13 at 26°C, and May 14 neared 29°C due to persistent high-pressure ridging trapping warm air. Above-normal May climatology (average ~23°C) and GFS model ensembles signaling 1–3°C upside reinforce this sentiment; watch KMA's afternoon update for hourly refinements as sea breeze or added insulation could tip outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$79,355종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's May 15 high near 24°C at the resolving Incheon International Airport station under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds around 9 knots, and strong solar heating from minimal cloud cover. Traders, however, imply 58% odds for 26°C or higher and 32.5% for exactly 25°C, doubting the conservative guidance amid a sharp recent warming trend: May 12 peaked at 21°C, May 13 at 26°C, and May 14 neared 29°C due to persistent high-pressure ridging trapping warm air. Above-normal May climatology (average ~23°C) and GFS model ensembles signaling 1–3°C upside reinforce this sentiment; watch KMA's afternoon update for hourly refinements as sea breeze or added insulation could tip outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문