Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 15°C in early afternoon, aligning with trader consensus assigning near-certainty to this outcome amid real-money wagers. Persistent southerly winds (15-20 knots), morning showers, and low cloud cover suppressed solar heating, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs forecasting 14-15°C highs under high-pressure stability. May climatological norms at the site average 14-16°C daily maxima, reinforcing this positioning. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like abrupt wind die-off, full clearing, and prolonged evening sunshine before midnight are improbable given shortening daylight and cooling trends; final hourly data posts post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
$55,491 거래량
$55,491 거래량
2026.05.14
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
$55,491 거래량
$55,491 거래량
2026.05.14
15°C
$8,837 거래량
100%
16°C
$5,146 거래량
<1%
17°C
$4,934 거래량
<1%
18°C or higher
$5,647 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 15°C in early afternoon, aligning with trader consensus assigning near-certainty to this outcome amid real-money wagers. Persistent southerly winds (15-20 knots), morning showers, and low cloud cover suppressed solar heating, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs forecasting 14-15°C highs under high-pressure stability. May climatological norms at the site average 14-16°C daily maxima, reinforcing this positioning. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like abrupt wind die-off, full clearing, and prolonged evening sunshine before midnight are improbable given shortening daylight and cooling trends; final hourly data posts post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
거래량
$55,491종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 15°C in early afternoon, aligning with trader consensus assigning near-certainty to this outcome amid real-money wagers. Persistent southerly winds (15-20 knots), morning showers, and low cloud cover suppressed solar heating, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs forecasting 14-15°C highs under high-pressure stability. May climatological norms at the site average 14-16°C daily maxima, reinforcing this positioning. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like abrupt wind die-off, full clearing, and prolonged evening sunshine before midnight are improbable given shortening daylight and cooling trends; final hourly data posts post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$55,491종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETOfficial MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 15°C in early afternoon, aligning with trader consensus assigning near-certainty to this outcome amid real-money wagers. Persistent southerly winds (15-20 knots), morning showers, and low cloud cover suppressed solar heating, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs forecasting 14-15°C highs under high-pressure stability. May climatological norms at the site average 14-16°C daily maxima, reinforcing this positioning. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like abrupt wind die-off, full clearing, and prolonged evening sunshine before midnight are improbable given shortening daylight and cooling trends; final hourly data posts post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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