Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Kuala Lumpur's May 16 high temperature, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS centering around 31-32°C amid the city's equatorial climate and typical May averages of 32°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon thunderstorms during the inter-monsoon transition, which could cap peaks at 31°C via cloud cover and evaporative cooling, versus clearer conditions enhanced by urban heat island effects and an emerging El Niño pattern projected for mid-2026, boosting odds for 33°C or higher. Historical data shows highs rarely dip below 30.5°C, but convective activity introduces variability; watch Malaysian Meteorological Department updates overnight for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 16?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 16?
32°C 26%
31°C 25%
33°C 18%
34°C or higher 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
26%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
13%
32°C 26%
31°C 25%
33°C 18%
34°C or higher 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
26%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Kuala Lumpur's May 16 high temperature, with ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS centering around 31-32°C amid the city's equatorial climate and typical May averages of 32°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon thunderstorms during the inter-monsoon transition, which could cap peaks at 31°C via cloud cover and evaporative cooling, versus clearer conditions enhanced by urban heat island effects and an emerging El Niño pattern projected for mid-2026, boosting odds for 33°C or higher. Historical data shows highs rarely dip below 30.5°C, but convective activity introduces variability; watch Malaysian Meteorological Department updates overnight for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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